The weather forecast for the Nevada Day weekend around Carson City and western Nevada is shaping up to be sunny to partly cloudy and pleasant with seasonal daytime temperatures in the 60s, according to the National Weather Service.
Any precipitation chances will be north near the Oregon border. For Carson City and western Nevada we can expect typical afternoon light breezes Saturday. Nevada Day Parade day morning lows for Carson City will be around the mid-30s so it’s a good idea to wear a sweater or bring parka.
The forecast is far from the weather system last weekend into Monday that brought around anywhere from 2.5 to 5.5 inches of rain to the capital city and up to 3 to 4 feet of snow to Sierra, from Lake Tahoe to Mammoth Lakes.
“The weather will be pleasant for those outside enjoying the Nevada Day parade,” said NWS meteorologist Dawn Johnson.
The following is extracted from the NWS forecast discussion Thursday morning. Go here to read the full report.
Patchy freezing fog this morning and again Friday morning for valley areas, most widespread in the Sierra. Friday evening into Saturday, a weak disturbance will bring rain chances to areas north of Interstate 80 with a slight chance for a wintry mix at higher elevations. The storm track then remains active through at least the first half of November.
A weak trough of low pressure moves over north CA and far northwest NV Friday evening through Saturday morning, becoming very weak by Saturday afternoon. This trough brings just enough moisture and lift for shower chances north of I-80 Friday evening through Saturday morning, with potential for lingering showers Saturday afternoon north of Portola-Gerlach. Snow levels look to be above 8,000 feet so this should mainly be a rain event, but with a slight chance for stronger showers to briefly bring a wintry mix down to pass levels in northeast CA.
Late Sunday night through Tuesday, another weak trough tracks across northern CA and the Sierra into the northern Great Basin. This system looks to carry more moisture with shower chances north of US-50. Snow levels could start out lower with this system, perhaps as low as 7,000 feet Sunday night into Monday morning, with some winter travel impacts possible for Sierra passes.
Forecast confidence is very low beyond Tuesday, but yet another weak trough Wednesday-Thursday could bring additional shower chances. Then, looking beyond the 7-day forecast, there are signals for a stronger trough to develop over the east Pacific by next Friday. For the weekend of Nov 5-7 ensemble systems advertise this deep trough potentially directing a stream of moisture towards the Sierra and western NV. The timing for this trough to arrive and the track of the associated moisture stream are low confidence this far out, especially because it depends on a blocking ridge over the West shifting east. Therefore, please stay tuned for forecast updates.
